2025 NASCAR Xfinity Playoff Picture After Dover: Who’s Safe, Who’s Sweating?

With 20 races complete, the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series playoff picture is coming into sharper focus after the latest battle at Dover. Twelve drivers will fight for the championship over the final seven events, but only eight have clinched their spots with wins. That includes Connor Zilisch, Justin Allgaier, Austin Hill, and Brandon Jones, who are locked in despite not earning regular season points.

Further down, Sam Mayer leads the points-only group, sitting comfortably +162 above the cutline. Carson Kvapil, Sheldon Creed, Taylor Gray, and Jeb Burton round out the provisional playoff field, with Burton hanging on by just seven points.

2025 NASCAR Xfinity Playoff Picture After Dover

POSNO.DRIVERPlayoff StatusPlayoff Margin
188Connor ZilischNo Points Win
27Justin AllgaierNo Points Win
321Austin HillNo Points Win
420Brandon JonesNo Points Win
58Sammy SmithNo Points Win
62Jesse LoveNo Points Win
748Nicholas SanchezNo Points Win
841Sam MayerPoints Only+162
91Carson KvapilPoints Only+86
1000Sheldon CreedPoints Only+61
1154Taylor GrayPoints Only+36
1227Jeb BurtonPoints Only+7

On the bubble, Harrison Burton sits dangerously close, just -7 behind his cousin Jeb. Ryan Sieg (-30), Dean Thompson (-62), and Christian Eckes (-71) are within striking distance but need strong runs — or a win — to stay in contention.

POSNO.DRIVERPlayoff StatusPlayoff Margin
1325Harrison BurtonBelow Cutline-7
1439Ryan SiegBelow Cutline-30
1526Dean ThompsonBelow Cutline-62
1616Christian EckesBelow Cutline-71
1710Daniel DyeBelow Cutline-85
1844Brennan PooleBelow Cutline-117
1911Josh WilliamsBelow Cutline-136
2051Jeremy ClementsBelow Cutline-153
2118William SawalichBelow Cutline-181
2242Anthony AlfredoBelow Cutline-182
2399Matt DiBenedettoBelow Cutline-186
2431Blaine PerkinsBelow Cutline-224
254Parker RetzlaffBelow Cutline-227
2628Kyle SiegBelow Cutline-234
2771Ryan EllisBelow Cutline-249

Further back, names like Daniel Dye, Josh Williams, and Matt DiBenedetto are fading fast in the standings, needing a miracle to re-enter the conversation.

With 13 races to go, pressure mounts. One win can change everything, and the race to lock in playoff spots is only getting hotter.

ALSO READ: Who Will Conquer Dover’s AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 400?

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