Josh Berry faces a critical moment at Bristol Motor Speedway, heading into a must-win scenario to keep his postseason alive, with tire management expected to play a central role. As he pursues the Josh Berry Bristol playoff advantage, experts point to his skill in preserving tires as the factor that could separate him from other drivers when the Bass Pro Shops Night Race kicks off on September 13.
Bristol’s Tire Wear Opens Door for Bold Strategies
Approaching Saturday’s night race, the conversation centers on the challenging concrete track at Bristol, notorious for rapidly wearing down tires. NASCAR is introducing a softer right-side tire compound this weekend, which is anticipated to increase tire degradation and necessitate creative strategic decisions. This element may work in favor of Josh Berry, who is recognized for his tire management capabilities and ability to capitalize when others struggle with wear and pit stop timing.
NASCAR insider Jordan Bianchi shared his analysis of the playoff picture and where drivers stand in the lead-up to Bristol. Berry, piloting the #21 Wood Brothers Racing car, is among several competitors, including Alex Bowman and Shane van Gisbergen, facing elimination. Bianchi explained the current standings landscape:
“Listen. SVG (Shane van Gisbergen), I don’t think he can make 15 points up there. (Alex) Bowman’s in a must-win. Berry’s in a must-win. (Austin) Dillon at #11 is kind of in that bubble zone of like he goes out and gets stage points in Stage 1 or 2, then it’s a different story,”
he said [0:31] —Jordan Bianchi, NASCAR Insider.
Expert Views Highlight Berry’s Strength on Short Tracks
Bianchi further emphasized how tire management could become the key difference-maker at Bristol.

“If this is a tire wear race… and guys have to manage their tires or make green flag pit stops, who’s really good at managing their tires? Josh Berry.”
—Jordan Bianchi, NASCAR Insider.
Bianchi concluded his podcast remarks by outlining why Bristol could bring out the best in Berry and his team:
“This race sets up well for him, and they can take a chance because they know… like, ‘Forget points, we’re going for the win,’ and they’re in a position where if this is a tire wear race, I feel like they got an advantage because they can be on the front foot and go after it,”
he concluded. —Jordan Bianchi, NASCAR Insider.
Berry’s reputation as a standout short-track driver was built on years of racing Late Model Stock Cars. Last season, as a NASCAR rookie with Stewart-Haas Racing, Berry led multiple laps at Bristol. In this year’s campaign, driving for Wood Brothers Racing, he delivered a strong top-10 performance at Richmond Raceway, another venue known for wearing tires quickly and demanding high levels of car control.
Current Standings and the Playoff Challenge
The playoff pressure is particularly acute this week. Berry starts the Bristol race sitting 16th overall, facing a daunting 45-point deficit to advance to the Round of 12. The elimination zone includes Austin Dillon, trailing by 11 points, Shane van Gisbergen at minus 15, and Alex Bowman lagging by 35 points. Tennessee native Berry and his competitors have little room for error, knowing that every decision from qualifying to pit strategy will shape their playoff outlook.
Wrecks and Setbacks Hamper Early Playoff Hopes
Berry’s current position in the standings largely stems from tough luck in the postseason’s first two events. Notably, at WWT Raceway, contact with Chase Elliott on lap 35 ended his day prematurely and left him with another last-place finish.
“I doubt that was on purpose. Just wrong place, wrong time.”
—Josh Berry, Driver.
As the Bristol race approaches, the sense of urgency is heightened not only for Berry but for all drivers on the playoff bubble, including Austin Dillon, Shane van Gisbergen, and Alex Bowman. With Denny Hamlin already locked in for the next round after winning at WWT Raceway, and notable finishes by Joe Gibbs Racing’s Chase Briscoe and Chase Elliott, along with Ryan Blaney and defending champion Joey Logano, the stage is set for an intense battle.
The outcome at Bristol will play a decisive role in determining which drivers progress in the playoffs. Berry’s strength in tire conservation, combined with his short-track experience, gives him a fighting chance to overcome his deficit. The race will reveal whether that edge is enough to secure his spot in the Round of 12 amid a season of unpredictable results and dramatic playoff implications.