Denny Hamlin and Ryan Blaney are tied as the leading favorites according to the latest Denny Hamlin NASCAR odds for the upcoming Straight Talk Wireless 500 at Phoenix Raceway, set for 3:30 p.m. ET this Sunday. The odds reflect renewed optimism for both drivers as Hamlin aims to rebuild momentum while Blaney looks to repeat his previous Phoenix success.
Tyler Reddick’s Historic Streak Dominates 2026 Season Start
Michael Jordan’s 23XI Racing has been making headlines, with Tyler Reddick in the No. 45 car securing victories in the season’s first three Cup Series races—including the Daytona 500, EchoPark Speedway in Atlanta, and Circuit of the Americas. This achievement represents a significant milestone in NASCAR history and has catapulted Reddick to the top of the current NASCAR Cup Series standings, boasting 186 points.
While Reddick hasn’t historically excelled at Phoenix Raceway—placing 26th last November and 20th in last March’s event—he did earn a third-place finish here in March 2023. If he notches another win this weekend, it will be his fourth straight victory of the 2026 season, further cementing his dominant start.
Examining the NASCAR Odds Leaders and Their Recent Track Records
DraftKings Sportsbook’s odds as of March 4 position both Ryan Blaney and Denny Hamlin at +550, meaning a $10 bet would return $65 total for either driver. Hamlin, currently sitting 23rd in the overall standings, is seeking a breakthrough after a challenging start to the season but enters Phoenix riding the motivation of a recent top-10 performance at Circuit of the Americas. The No. 11 driver is eager to overcome the disappointment from this track last season.
Blaney, in contrast, occupies fourth in the standings and is coming off an eighth-place finish at COTA. When the Cup Series last visited Phoenix in November 2025, Blaney claimed Victory Lane for the 17th time in his career. With his strong track record, Blaney is poised for another strong showing at Phoenix Raceway.
Full List of Top Contenders: NASCAR Phoenix Odds Breakdown
The complete odds from DraftKings offer insights into each driver’s chances at Phoenix this weekend:
Ryan Blaney: +550
Denny Hamlin: +550
Kyle Larson: +650
Christopher Bell: +650
William Byron: +750
Tyler Reddick: +1100
Joey Logano: +1200
Chase Briscoe: +1200
Chase Elliott: +1400
Ross Chastain: +2000
Josh Berry: +2800
Chris Buescher: +2800
Brad Keselowski: +2800
Kyle Busch: +3000
Connor Zilisch: +3500
Carson Hocevar: +3500
Bubba Wallace: +4500
Austin Dillon: +5000
Austin Cindric: +5500
Ty Gibbs: +6500
Alex Bowman: +6500
Ryan Preece: +7000
Michael McDowell: +9000
Shane van Gisbergen: +10000
Austin Hill: +10000
Noah Gragson: +13000
Daniel Suarez: +13000
Erik Jones: +15000
Zane Smith: +20000
Todd Gilliland: +20000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: +25000
AJ Allmendinger: +25000
John Hunter Nemechek: +30000
Ty Dillon: +40000
Riley Herbst: +40000
Cole Custer: +40000
Cody Ware: +50000
The list features prominent names like Kyle Larson, William Byron, Joey Logano, Brad Keselowski, and Kyle Busch, alongside up-and-coming talents such as Connor Zilisch and Carson Hocevar. Odds stretch from +550 for the favorites to long shots like Cody Ware at +50000.
Key Drivers to Watch Beyond the Favorites
Despite Hamlin and Blaney holding the best odds, Tyler Reddick stands out as a strong contender, given his unparalleled early-season performance. However, drivers such as Kyle Larson, Christopher Bell, and William Byron also present significant threats, each priced between +650 and +750. Further down the board, experienced drivers like Joey Logano (+1200), Chase Briscoe (+1200), and Chase Elliott (+1400) remain capable of seizing victory at Phoenix based on past success and adaptability to varying race conditions.
Other notable entries include Bubba Wallace (+4500), Shane van Gisbergen (+10000), Daniel Suarez (+13000), and Zane Smith (+20000), who all seek to make their mark as the season progresses.
Looking Ahead: What’s at Stake in Phoenix
This weekend’s Straight Talk Wireless 500 at Phoenix Raceway promises high stakes, with Denny Hamlin and Ryan Blaney seeking to capitalize on favorable Denny Hamlin NASCAR odds. Tyler Reddick also attempts to extend a historic winning streak that has propelled him to the top of the standings and placed the spotlight on Michael Jordan’s 23XI Racing team.
As the Cup Series moves to one of its signature venues, fans can expect intensified competition among top drivers such as Hamlin, Blaney, Reddick, Larson, and Bell. Performances at Phoenix will not only impact early-season morale but could have lasting implications for the championship chase in 2026. The weekend’s outcome may set the tone for rivalries and momentum as the season unfolds, making Phoenix a pivotal battleground in the ongoing NASCAR Cup Series story.
