Only 2 Points Separate NASCAR’s Final Playoff Spot—And One Big Name Is in Trouble

NASCAR’s points battle just got tighter. After a wild finish on the streets of Chicago, only a handful of spots remain up for grabs as the regular season nears its end. One driver is hanging on by just two points, while a former champion sits dangerously close to missing the cut.

Key Highlights

  • Bubba Wallace holds the final playoff spot by only 2 points over Ryan Preece

  • Kyle Busch is 46 points below the cutline despite a top-five in Chicago

  • Shane van Gisbergen climbs to 5th after another strong finish

  • Big names like Brad Keselowski and Daniel Suárez sit over 130 points out

The Fight for the Final Spots

The playoff picture after the Chicago Street Race shows how intense things have become with just seven races left in the regular season. Bubba Wallace currently clings to the 16th and final playoff spot with a narrow 2-point lead over Ryan Preece. Right behind them is a hungry pack that includes AJ Allmendinger, Kyle Busch, and Erik Jones, all of whom are within striking distance.

At the top of the standings, familiar names like Kyle Larson, Denny Hamlin, and William Byron continue to dominate. Shane van Gisbergen, after another top finish, now sits fifth, proving that his debut season is far from beginner’s luck.

POS NO. DRIVER Playoff Status Playoff Margin
1 5 Kyle Larson Locked In (Race Win)
2 11 Denny Hamlin Locked In (Race Win)
3 20 Christopher Bell Locked In (Race Win)
4 24 William Byron Locked In (Race Win)
5 88 Shane Van Gisbergen Locked In (Race Win)
6 12 Ryan Blaney Locked In (Race Win)
7 2 Austin Cindric Locked In (Race Win)
8 22 Joey Logano Locked In (Race Win)
9 19 Chase Briscoe Locked In (Race Win)
10 21 Josh Berry Locked In (Race Win)
11 9 Chase Elliott Locked In (Race Win)
12 1 Ross Chastain Locked In (Race Win)
13 45 Tyler Reddick Points Only 143
14 48 Alex Bowman Points Only 39
15 17 Chris Buescher Points Only 35
16 23 Bubba Wallace Points Only 2

Could NASCAR Ever See a Tie

Former Champs in Trouble

Perhaps the most surprising name below the cutline is Kyle Busch, a two-time Cup champion. Despite a solid showing in Chicago, he’s 19th in points and 46 back. If he misses the playoffs, it will mark back-to-back seasons of postseason absence. He’s not alone in struggling: Brad Keselowski, another former champion, is 136 points out and sitting 28th in the standings.

Other notables outside the top 16 include Daniel Suárez, Ty Gibbs, and Michael McDowell. With several road courses coming up, drivers like Allmendinger and Suárez may see their best shot to claw back into contention.

POS NO. DRIVER Playoff Status Playoff Margin
17 60 Ryan Preece Below Cutoff -2
18 16 AJ Allmendinger Below Cutoff -43
19 8 Kyle Busch Below Cutoff -46
20 43 Erik Jones Below Cutoff -50
21 54 Ty Gibbs Below Cutoff -66
22 42 John H. Nemechek Below Cutoff -68
23 77 Carson Hocevar Below Cutoff -75
24 71 Michael McDowell Below Cutoff -77
25 38 Zane Smith Below Cutoff -80
26 47 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Below Cutoff -82
27 3 Austin Dillon Below Cutoff -128
28 6 Brad Keselowski Below Cutoff -136
29 99 Daniel Suárez Below Cutoff -136
30 34 Todd Gilliland Below Cutoff -137
31 7 Justin Haley Below Cutoff -149
32 10 Ty Dillon Below Cutoff -152
33 4 Noah Gragson Below Cutoff -178
34 41 Cole Custer Below Cutoff -202
35 35 Riley Herbst Below Cutoff -217
36 51 Cody Ware Below Cutoff -299

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Who’s Trending Up and Who’s Fading?

Among those trending up is Alex Bowman, now 14th in points after another strong finish in Chicago. Meanwhile, Chris Buescher and Tyler Reddick continue to build comfortable cushions, sitting +35 and +143 points above the cutline, respectively.

On the other hand, Carson Hocevar and Austin Dillon are fading fast. Both sit over 75 points below the bubble and will need wins to qualify. Ryan Preece remains the closest threat to Wallace, and the two are now locked in a head-to-head battle with every point critical.

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News in Brief: 2 Points Separate NASCAR’s Final Playoff Spot

Bubba Wallace leads Ryan Preece by just two points in the final playoff spot after Chicago. Kyle Busch is still below the line, joined by several big names needing a win to make the postseason. Only seven regular-season races remain.

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