2025 NASCAR Cup Playoff Picture After Dover: Who’s In, Who’s Chasing

With 21 races complete in the 2025 NASCAR Cup Series season, the playoff field is beginning to take shape. Twelve drivers have already clinched playoff spots with race wins, including Denny Hamlin, Kyle Larson, Shane van Gisbergen, and Chase Elliott. This leaves only four points-based positions available heading into the final 15 regular-season races.

POSNO.DRIVERPlayoff StatusPlayoff Margin
111Denny HamlinLocked In (Race Win)–
25Kyle LarsonLocked In (Race Win)–
320Christopher BellLocked In (Race Win)–
488Shane van GisbergenLocked In (Race Win)–
524William ByronLocked In (Race Win)–
612Ryan BlaneyLocked In (Race Win)–
72Austin CindricLocked In (Race Win)–
822Joey LoganoLocked In (Race Win)–
99Chase ElliottLocked In (Race Win)–
1019Chase BriscoeLocked In (Race Win)–
111Ross ChastainLocked In (Race Win)–
1221Josh BerryLocked In (Race Win)–
1345Tyler ReddickPoints Only156
1448Alex BowmanPoints Only63
1517Chris BuescherPoints Only44
1623Bubba WallacePoints Only16

Tyler Reddick currently leads the non-winning contenders at +156, followed by Alex Bowman (+63), Chris Buescher (+44), and Bubba Wallace (+16), who sits precariously on the cutline. Right below him is Ryan Preece, just 16 points out of a spot. Kyle Busch, Ty Gibbs, and Michael McDowell trail further behind, but with one win, any of them could still shake up the standings.

The playoff format eliminates four drivers after each of the first three rounds, setting up a winner-take-all finale among the final four. With multiple former champions and hungry young contenders still on the outside looking in, the fight for those last few positions is only intensifying.

On The Bubble

POSNO.DRIVERPlayoff StatusPlayoff Margin
1760Ryan PreeceBelow Cutline–16
188Kyle BuschBelow Cutline–39
1954Ty GibbsBelow Cutline–52
2071Michael McDowellBelow Cutline–77
2116AJ AllmendingerBelow Cutline–80
2243Erik JonesBelow Cutline–89
2342John H. NemechekBelow Cutline–100
2447Ricky Stenhouse Jr.Below Cutline–108
2538Zane SmithBelow Cutline–112
2677Carson HocevarBelow Cutline–125
276Brad KeselowskiBelow Cutline–140
283Austin DillonBelow Cutline–147
2999Daniel SuárezBelow Cutline–159
3010Ty DillonBelow Cutline–163
317Justin HaleyBelow Cutline–163
3234Todd GillilandBelow Cutline–167
334Noah GragsonBelow Cutline–229
3441Cole CusterBelow Cutline–237
3535Riley HerbstBelow Cutline–249
3651Cody WareBelow Cutline–352

As the series heads to Indianapolis, every point—and every mistake—could decide who gets a shot at the 2025 title and who’s left watching from the sidelines.

ALSO READ: NASCAR Cup Playoff Contenders Who Must Rebound at Watkins Glen

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