2025 NASCAR Cup Playoff Picture After Dover: Who’s In, Who’s Chasing

With 21 races complete in the 2025 NASCAR Cup Series season, the playoff field is beginning to take shape. Twelve drivers have already clinched playoff spots with race wins, including Denny Hamlin, Kyle Larson, Shane van Gisbergen, and Chase Elliott. This leaves only four points-based positions available heading into the final 15 regular-season races.

POS NO. DRIVER Playoff Status Playoff Margin
1 11 Denny Hamlin Locked In (Race Win)
2 5 Kyle Larson Locked In (Race Win)
3 20 Christopher Bell Locked In (Race Win)
4 88 Shane van Gisbergen Locked In (Race Win)
5 24 William Byron Locked In (Race Win)
6 12 Ryan Blaney Locked In (Race Win)
7 2 Austin Cindric Locked In (Race Win)
8 22 Joey Logano Locked In (Race Win)
9 9 Chase Elliott Locked In (Race Win)
10 19 Chase Briscoe Locked In (Race Win)
11 1 Ross Chastain Locked In (Race Win)
12 21 Josh Berry Locked In (Race Win)
13 45 Tyler Reddick Points Only 156
14 48 Alex Bowman Points Only 63
15 17 Chris Buescher Points Only 44
16 23 Bubba Wallace Points Only 16

Tyler Reddick currently leads the non-winning contenders at +156, followed by Alex Bowman (+63), Chris Buescher (+44), and Bubba Wallace (+16), who sits precariously on the cutline. Right below him is Ryan Preece, just 16 points out of a spot. Kyle Busch, Ty Gibbs, and Michael McDowell trail further behind, but with one win, any of them could still shake up the standings.

The playoff format eliminates four drivers after each of the first three rounds, setting up a winner-take-all finale among the final four. With multiple former champions and hungry young contenders still on the outside looking in, the fight for those last few positions is only intensifying.

On The Bubble

POS NO. DRIVER Playoff Status Playoff Margin
17 60 Ryan Preece Below Cutline –16
18 8 Kyle Busch Below Cutline –39
19 54 Ty Gibbs Below Cutline –52
20 71 Michael McDowell Below Cutline –77
21 16 AJ Allmendinger Below Cutline –80
22 43 Erik Jones Below Cutline –89
23 42 John H. Nemechek Below Cutline –100
24 47 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Below Cutline –108
25 38 Zane Smith Below Cutline –112
26 77 Carson Hocevar Below Cutline –125
27 6 Brad Keselowski Below Cutline –140
28 3 Austin Dillon Below Cutline –147
29 99 Daniel Suárez Below Cutline –159
30 10 Ty Dillon Below Cutline –163
31 7 Justin Haley Below Cutline –163
32 34 Todd Gilliland Below Cutline –167
33 4 Noah Gragson Below Cutline –229
34 41 Cole Custer Below Cutline –237
35 35 Riley Herbst Below Cutline –249
36 51 Cody Ware Below Cutline –352

As the series heads to Indianapolis, every point—and every mistake—could decide who gets a shot at the 2025 title and who’s left watching from the sidelines.

ALSO READ: NASCAR Cup Playoff Contenders Who Must Rebound at Watkins Glen

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