Kevin Harvick on SVG playoff chances became a focal point after Shane van Gisbergen matched his best oval result of the NASCAR Cup Series season at Richmond Raceway, securing a 14th place finish. With the NASCAR playoffs approaching, attention is building around van Gisbergen’s ability to perform not only on road courses but also traditional tracks, potentially shaking up the postseason competition.
SVG Shows Strength at Richmond and Beyond
Shane van Gisbergen, hailing from New Zealand, turned heads with his performance at Richmond Raceway over the weekend. His P14 finish on the oval equaled his top effort on a non-road course circuit so far this season, impressing fans and key figures in the Cup Series. Well known for his dominance on road courses, SVG’s progress on ovals is being closely monitored as the playoffs draw near, with growing speculation about how far he might go if he keeps improving at these venues.
Harvick Analyses SVG’s Playoff Prospects
Kevin Harvick, a former Cup Series champion, discussed van Gisbergen’s playoff prospects and recent surge on the Happy Hour platform. Harvick provided a breakdown of what it takes to survive the early playoff rounds, emphasizing SVG’s steady finishes as a major advantage.
“I think that P15-18, P19th average running, finishing position in a round will typically advance you through the first round. So, if he can get those P14, P15th finishes in the first round, with the points that he has earned, he could make it through that first round,”
—Kevin Harvick, NASCAR Champion
Harvick highlighted that a driver’s ability to consistently secure top-15 finishes in the opening playoff rounds is often enough to advance. With SVG’s experience building, his consistent finishes could be crucial as he faces NASCAR’s best on unfamiliar ovals.

“Why would you bet against him? Why would you not pick him on a road course? I don’t know. Why would he not be the favorite for the ROVAL, if he makes it to the second round.”
—Kevin Harvick, NASCAR Champion
Harvick’s comments reflect growing confidence in SVG’s adaptability, particularly if he makes it to tracks like the Charlotte ROVAL, where road course expertise takes center stage.
Mamba Smith Offers Continued Support
Mamba Smith, Harvick’s co-host, echoed similar optimism, stating his ongoing belief in van Gisbergen’s trajectory in the Cup Series. Smith’s perspective revolves around SVG’s growing familiarity with both ovals and road circuits, suggesting he could exceed even optimistic forecasts if his progress continues.
“At the beginning of the year, we talked about what we thought this season might turn into for different people. When we were talking about SVG, I said I almost have him going through the Round of Eight,”
—Mamba Smith, Happy Hour Co-Host
Smith indicated that SVG is increasingly close to achieving goals set earlier in the season, especially in terms of learning how to handle NASCAR’s challenging oval tracks. The addition of new experiences each race gives van Gisbergen an edge, per Smith.
“Like, I’m not going to stamp my name on it, but like he’s — they’re getting better. He doesn’t even have 100 NASCAR starts, period.”
—Mamba Smith, Happy Hour Co-Host
Looking Ahead: Playoff Implications and SVG’s Unique Position
Armed with four wins, van Gisbergen holds a valuable points cushion heading into the playoffs, ensuring he enters the postseason in a strong position. This advantage comes as he continues to collect experience at classical NASCAR circuits, and the upcoming event at Daytona International Speedway represents another key step in his adaptation to oval racing.
Shane van Gisbergen is rapidly becoming one of the season’s most fascinating drivers, especially with the competitive field shaping up for 2025. Should he maintain his improving pace on ovals while drawing on his road course skill, SVG could carve out a unique advantage over his rivals, possibly altering expectations for the Cup Series playoff race and posing new challenges for seasoned contenders.

