Joey Logano, the defending NASCAR Cup Series champion, faces a crucial test at Charlotte Roval as the playoff field narrows, making the outcome of his playoff scenario a significant talking point for fans and analysts alike. Although Logano currently stands above the elimination barrier, there are several ways his postseason hopes could be threatened, depending on his performance and that of his rivals in the upcoming race.
Logano and Briscoe Navigate Close Playoff Margins
At Kansas Speedway, Joey Logano crossed the finish line in 21st place, while Chase Briscoe, competing for Joe Gibbs Racing, secured fourth. Despite those middling results, both drivers carry a point advantage into the high-stakes Round of 12 elimination race at Charlotte Motor Speedway’s road course. However, their positions are not yet assured, meaning clean, strategic racing will be critical to avoid unexpected playoff elimination.
NASCAR’s tightly contested playoff structure leaves room for tense outcomes. For Logano and Briscoe, the challenge lies not only in their own finishes but also in the potential for unpredictable incidents that can shift the standings. Qualifying for the next round depends as much on consistency and avoiding trouble as on raw speed.
Required Points to Reach the Next Round
FOX Sports journalist Bob Pockrass detailed the exact point totals needed by each contender to ensure progression regardless of how competitors perform. According to Pockrass, Chase Briscoe needs 49 more points to guarantee his advancement, sitting 21 points clear of the cutline. Joey Logano holds a slimmer margin, 13 points above the threshold, and must secure more than 50 points to guarantee his position among the semifinalists.

Pockrass broke down the numbers for all drivers above the elimination line, providing a clear path each must take at the Charlotte Roval. Specific scenarios include:
“Points needed at Roval to clinch no matter what anyone else does: Larson 16 (21st-place finish, no stage points), Hamlin 22 (15th), Bell 26 (11th), Byron 30 (7th), Briscoe 49”
– Bob Pockrass, FOX Sports journalist
This means that, for instance, Kyle Larson would only need to finish 21st and avoid stage points to move on, while Christopher Bell’s safe passage requires a finish no worse than 11th. Denny Hamlin and William Byron have similar calculations, underlining the precision needed as all drivers try to avoid being sidelined after the Roval.
Performances So Far in the Round of 12
Joey Logano, representing Team Penske, has experienced fluctuating fortunes during the current playoff phase. With a fourth-place at New Hampshire followed by 21st at Kansas, Logano now occupies eighth place in the Cup Series standings, giving him a modest buffer but far from a guarantee of safety if misfortune strikes at Charlotte.
Chase Briscoe’s campaign, meanwhile, has been marked by strong execution. He placed tenth at New Hampshire and then impressed further at Kansas, leading a Toyota charge from pole position to finish inside the top five. Briscoe now sits seventh in the overall playoff standings, also separated from the cutline by 13 points.
Fan interest has only grown as drivers such as Ryan Blaney and Chase Elliott have already secured their semifinal places through victories earlier in the Round of 12, demonstrating how important every race point is for those still on the bubble, like Logano and Briscoe.
The Stakes at Charlotte Roval
The upcoming Bank of America Roval 400 at Charlotte Motor Speedway Road Course on Sunday, October 5, stands as a defining moment for playoff drivers and teams. The dramatic, technical challenge of Charlotte’s unique road course layout is notorious for shuffling the field and presenting unexpected hurdles. For Logano, Briscoe, and their championship rivals—including Kyle Busch, Christopher Bell, Denny Hamlin, William Byron, and Kyle Larson—execution will be everything as they battle for their place in the next stage.
With the playoff scenario so delicately poised, the Charlotte Roval could easily alter the course of the postseason, putting NASCAR fans on the edge of their seats and leaving drivers to focus on every point and position. As the dust settles after the elimination race, only the most consistent and composed will remain in the hunt for the championship, while others may see their title dreams come to an abrupt end. The round at Charlotte will answer whether Joey Logano can successfully navigate this crucial hurdle and keep his playoff journey alive.