2025 NASCAR Xfinity Playoff Picture After Dover: Who’s Safe, Who’s Sweating?

With 20 races complete, the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series playoff picture is coming into sharper focus after the latest battle at Dover. Twelve drivers will fight for the championship over the final seven events, but only eight have clinched their spots with wins. That includes Connor Zilisch, Justin Allgaier, Austin Hill, and Brandon Jones, who are locked in despite not earning regular season points.

Further down, Sam Mayer leads the points-only group, sitting comfortably +162 above the cutline. Carson Kvapil, Sheldon Creed, Taylor Gray, and Jeb Burton round out the provisional playoff field, with Burton hanging on by just seven points.

2025 NASCAR Xfinity Playoff Picture After Dover

POS NO. DRIVER Playoff Status Playoff Margin
1 88 Connor Zilisch No Points Win
2 7 Justin Allgaier No Points Win
3 21 Austin Hill No Points Win
4 20 Brandon Jones No Points Win
5 8 Sammy Smith No Points Win
6 2 Jesse Love No Points Win
7 48 Nicholas Sanchez No Points Win
8 41 Sam Mayer Points Only +162
9 1 Carson Kvapil Points Only +86
10 00 Sheldon Creed Points Only +61
11 54 Taylor Gray Points Only +36
12 27 Jeb Burton Points Only +7

On the bubble, Harrison Burton sits dangerously close, just -7 behind his cousin Jeb. Ryan Sieg (-30), Dean Thompson (-62), and Christian Eckes (-71) are within striking distance but need strong runs — or a win — to stay in contention.

POS NO. DRIVER Playoff Status Playoff Margin
13 25 Harrison Burton Below Cutline -7
14 39 Ryan Sieg Below Cutline -30
15 26 Dean Thompson Below Cutline -62
16 16 Christian Eckes Below Cutline -71
17 10 Daniel Dye Below Cutline -85
18 44 Brennan Poole Below Cutline -117
19 11 Josh Williams Below Cutline -136
20 51 Jeremy Clements Below Cutline -153
21 18 William Sawalich Below Cutline -181
22 42 Anthony Alfredo Below Cutline -182
23 99 Matt DiBenedetto Below Cutline -186
24 31 Blaine Perkins Below Cutline -224
25 4 Parker Retzlaff Below Cutline -227
26 28 Kyle Sieg Below Cutline -234
27 71 Ryan Ellis Below Cutline -249

Further back, names like Daniel Dye, Josh Williams, and Matt DiBenedetto are fading fast in the standings, needing a miracle to re-enter the conversation.

With 13 races to go, pressure mounts. One win can change everything, and the race to lock in playoff spots is only getting hotter.

ALSO READ: Who Will Conquer Dover’s AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 400?

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